LIVE
Current dashboard
The public-facing view of the model: current standings, projected final table and the next unplayed fixtures.
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Current leader
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Projected champion
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Games remaining
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Seasons simulated
Current league table
Live results| Loading live table… |
Upcoming fixtures
Click a fixture for full projectionLoading upcoming fixtures…
Projected final finish
Monte Carlo projection| Simulation engine to populate the projected table. |
Projection updates automatically as results change. Match probabilities and season simulations use the Dixon–Coles low-score correction (ρ = -0.13).
WHAT IF?
Probability changes
Select a probability and see only the clubs whose chances are affected by your What-if results.
Title probability
No What-if changes yet
How your What-if results affect each club's title probability.
Enter or edit a result below to create a scenario.
| Loading live probabilities… |
Live = current-results baseline ·
What-if = your entered results ·
Only clubs with a non-zero probability change are shown.
What if? Enter your own results and rerun the projection
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Enter your own results
Enter any results you want to test. Existing results reflect the current season; changing a score creates a what-if scenario and automatically reruns the projection.
Game in hand: Galway United vs Shelbourne (originally gameweek 11) was postponed and is listed separately at the end of the fixture list, since it hasn't been rescheduled to a fixed date yet.
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Fixture projections
Live model probabilities, xG values and projected score for every unplayed fixture. Filter by gameweek or team.